Projects per year
Abstract
We study the effect of local exposure to populism on net population movements by citizenship status, gender, age and education level in the context of Italian municipalities. We present two research designs to estimate the causal effect of populist attitudes and politics. Initially, we use a combination of collective memory and trigger variables as an instrument for the variation in populist vote shares across national elections. Subsequently, we apply a regression discontinuity design to estimate the effect of electing a populist mayor on population movements. We establish three converging findings. First, the exposure to both populist attitudes and policies, as manifested by the vote share of populist parties in national election or the close-election of a new populist mayor, reduces the attractiveness of municipalities, leading to larger population outflows. Second, the effect is particularly pronounced among young, female, and highly educated natives, who tend to relocate across Italian municipalities rather than internationally. Third, we do not find any effect on the foreign population. Our results highlight a foot-voting mechanism that may contribute to a political polarization in Italian municipalities.
Original language | English |
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Place of Publication | Esch-sur-Alzette |
Publisher | LISER |
Number of pages | 80 |
Publication status | Published - 31 Jan 2024 |
Publication series
Name | Working papers |
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Publisher | LISER |
No. | 2024-01 |
ISSN (Electronic) | 2716-7445 |
Keywords
- Migration
- Human Capital
- Populism
- Italian Politics
LISER Collections
- Les working papers du Liser
Projects
- 1 Finished
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EUFIRST: Globalization, Inequality and Populism across Europe
Docquier, F. (PI), Vannoorenberghe, G. (Partner PI), PELUSO, E. (CoI), Rapoport, H. (CoI), Guichard, L. (CoI) & LEVAI, A. (CoI)
Fonds National de la Recherche Luxembourg
1/09/20 → 31/08/24
Project: Research