TY - JOUR
T1 - International migration and the propagation of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa
AU - Docquier, Frédéric
AU - Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis
AU - Tamfutu Munsi, Dieudonné
PY - 2014
Y1 - 2014
N2 - In this paper, we identify and quantify the role of international migration in the propagation of HIV across sub-Saharan African countries. We use panel data on bilateral migration flows and HIV prevalence rates covering 44 countries after 1990. Controlling for unobserved heterogeneity, reverse causality, reflection issues, incorrect treatment of country fixed effects and spatial autocorrelation, we find evidence of a highly robust emigration-induced propagation mechanism. On the contrary, immigration has no significant effect. Numerical experiments reveal that the long-run effect of emigration accounts for more than 4 percent of the number of HIV cases in 15 countries (and more than 20 percent in 6 countries).
AB - In this paper, we identify and quantify the role of international migration in the propagation of HIV across sub-Saharan African countries. We use panel data on bilateral migration flows and HIV prevalence rates covering 44 countries after 1990. Controlling for unobserved heterogeneity, reverse causality, reflection issues, incorrect treatment of country fixed effects and spatial autocorrelation, we find evidence of a highly robust emigration-induced propagation mechanism. On the contrary, immigration has no significant effect. Numerical experiments reveal that the long-run effect of emigration accounts for more than 4 percent of the number of HIV cases in 15 countries (and more than 20 percent in 6 countries).
KW - HIV/AIDS
KW - International migration
KW - Labor mobility
KW - Pandemics
KW - Propagation of diseases
UR - http://www.mendeley.com/research/international-migration-propagation-hiv-subsaharan-africa
U2 - 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2014.01.004
DO - 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2014.01.004
M3 - Article
SN - 0167-6296
VL - 35
SP - 20
EP - 33
JO - Journal of Health Economics
JF - Journal of Health Economics
IS - 1
ER -